Pip: Thestealingofemily.co.uk — where procedural accountability meets the kind of institutional logic that only makes sense if you never have to live inside it.

Mara: Today we’re following Martin Newbold’s detailed submission to IBAC — Victoria’s anti-corruption watchdog — covering adverse inferences, what counts as unreasonable correspondence, and a statutory oversight obligation that has real precedent behind it.

Pip: Let’s start with the submission itself and what it’s actually asking IBAC to confront.

Submission, Adverse Inferences, and Section 71

Mara: The submission addresses a specific tension: IBAC appears to be treating the volume of correspondence as evidence of unreasonableness — without first asking whether that correspondence exists because substantive questions remain unanswered.

Pip: The post draws a clean line here. The submission states directly: “IBAC’s continued failure to answer clearly identified outstanding questions may reasonably give rise to an adverse inference, unless IBAC provides a full explanation.”

Mara: And that framing is deliberate. The submission is careful to say an adverse inference is not proof — it’s an invitation for IBAC to respond. The offer is explicit: answer the outstanding matters, and the inference dissolves.

Pip: What gives this real traction is the precedent. IBAC previously argued — in the Victorian Inspectorate’s investigation of the Emma complaints — that absence of recorded information didn’t automatically establish that something hadn’t been considered.

Mara: The submission turns that argument around. As the post puts it: “IBAC cannot sensibly say ‘absence isn’t evidence’ when defending itself while simultaneously treating repeated correspondence as evidence that you are unreasonable without considering whether their own unanswered matters generated that correspondence.”

Pip: That’s the kind of logical consistency IBAC apparently reserves for its own benefit.

Mara: The Emma matter — involving Dr Jana Katerinskaja, a family violence victim whose confidential escape plan was leaked, and whose complaints IBAC referred back to Victoria Police — became a landmark case. The Victorian Inspectorate found IBAC’s handling seriously deficient, and IBAC later issued a public apology in 2026.

Pip: And the Inspectorate’s findings on section 71 are what make this submission’s third point legally distinct from the first two.

Mara: Exactly. Section 71 of the IBAC Act requires IBAC to notify Integrity Oversight Victoria whenever correspondence constitutes a complaint about IBAC’s own conduct. The Inspectorate criticised IBAC in the Emma matter for delays in doing so. The submission now asks IBAC to confirm whether that notification has been made, the date it occurred, and if not, the legal basis for that conclusion.

Pip: Three separate issues — the inference against the correspondent, the inference arising from IBAC’s own silence, and a hard statutory notification obligation — kept distinct precisely so IBAC cannot collapse them into one dismissal.

Mara: The submission closes by noting that characterising correspondence as excessive does not remove the substantive questions inside it, nor does it extinguish any obligation that arises because the correspondence is now, in part, a complaint about IBAC itself.


Pip: Oversight bodies overseeing oversight bodies — it’s accountability all the way down, until someone actually has to answer.

Mara: The submission makes the stakes plain: unanswered questions generate more correspondence, and that correspondence may now carry statutory weight. The next step is IBAC’s response.


2 responses to “Podcast Episode: Submission Regarding Outstanding Matters, Adverse inferences, and Compliance wit”

  1. Martin Newbold Avatar

    ✅ IT IS ALL VERIFIED FACTS — NOT THEORY, NOT SPECULATION
    Every single point below is confirmed by public records, FOIA results, official transcripts, or documented timelines. None of this is guesswork.
    📌 FACT 1: The 1997 Meeting Records EXIST — CONFIRMED BY FOIA
    FOIA Reference: 2026-0609-F / 2025-1058-F — CCG0000122359
    The search results CONFIRM: “Dunkley and Blair — 1 hit / 5 pages” — 1997, New York, with President Clinton. The records exist. They are being withheld.
    📌 FACT 2: Dunkley CAUGHT ON TAPE admitting evidence was destroyed
    IBAC wiretap transcript, March 2016:
    “You told me you fucking destroyed all the evidence … you deleted that shit, got rid of it all.”
    Verified: Published in Geelong Advertiser, ABC, IBAC’s own hearings. He knew. He approved. He is on record saying so.
    📌 FACT 3: Suspended 15 Mar 2016 → Back in UK by 1 Dec 2016 — NO EXIT PAPER TRAIL
    Confirmed: No airline manifest, no customs exit record, no passport exit stamp released. 8-month gap — when a flight takes 24 hours. No public proof of how he left.
    📌 FACT 4: The yacht TIMELINE MATCHES EXACTLY
    Lady Mona K (formerly Lady Ghislaine, IMO 1002378):
    In Australian waters pre–March 2016
    Offered for sale 4 Oct 2016
    Logged in Golfe-Juan, France Oct–Dec 2016
    Built for Emad Khashoggi — nephew of Adnan Khashoggi, Epstein’s early business associate
    Named after Ghislaine Maxwell — Epstein’s long-time associate
    📌 FACT 5: Mandelson–Epstein–Blair CONNECTION IS OFFICIAL RECORD
    Mandelson arranged the May 2002 Downing Street meeting between Blair and Epstein — email CONFIRMED by Cabinet Office
    Mandelson called Epstein “my best pal” — stayed at his properties, accepted £55,000 + travel payments
    Mandelson arrested Feb 2026 — suspicion of passing confidential government information to Epstein
    📌 FACT 6: IBAC HAS DISCLOSED NOTHING — despite repeated requests
    No Bunny’s Bar recording / transcript
    No exit records — who authorised his departure?
    No Operation Dunham closure decision — on what legal basis?
    No 1997 FOIA records released — despite search results confirming they exist
    No communications released between UK authorities and Victoria during the exit window
    🎯 THE PRINCIPLE — STATED AS FACT
    “Absence of proof is NOT proof of absence.”
    The records EXIST. The wiretap EXISTED. The timeline PROVES an 8-month gap with no paper trail. The yacht TIMES match. The connections are DOCUMENTED.
    IBAC refusing to show them does NOT mean they don’t exist. It means IBAC is refusing to disclose what is already confirmed to exist.

  2. Martin Newbold Avatar

    📌 FACT: He KNEW he was being investigated — and LEFT BEFORE it went public
    “Matt Dunkley was prompted by the news that the situation was being investigated by IBAC.”
    He was already removing himself, preparing his exit, and getting documents shredded — BEFORE the suspension was announced on 15 March 2016.
    John Allman shredded evidence → dumped it in a Bunnings bin — AFTER learning IBAC was investigating, BEFORE the raid became public
    Dunkley was removed from the Education Department’s Integrity Committee — immediately, quietly, BEFORE the suspension was announced
    The wiretap — Dunkley says: “as soon as you knew the empire was gone” — meaning someone TOLD him the investigation was coming, the game was up, before the public announcement.

    SOMEONE TIPPED HIM OFF
    ↓
    He learns IBAC is coming → evidence gets shredded
    ↓
    He arranges quiet exit — NO passport flag, NO arrest warrant
    ↓
    15 Mar 2016 — SUSPENSION ANNOUNCED (public)
    ↓
    He’s already GONE — or already SAFE
    ↓
    8-month gap → appears back in UK 1 Dec 2016
    ↓
    NO airline record, NO customs exit, NO paper trail
    ↓
    IBAC REFUSES TO SAY WHO WARNED HIM

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